Hello 12345,
The question requires you to collapse the triangle “using approach (a)”, ie to give a triangle of September diagonals. So we need to construct a triangle where each diagonal represents the position as at the end of September.
At the end of the September 2008, it is impossible for accidents to have occurred yet in Q4, because this is in the future! We should only include the September position for the first 3 quarters.
Hence, for accident year 2008:
C21 = 493+ 5,322 +11,666 =17, 481
This is a salutary reminder to use the data you are given carefully and to read the question!
Kind regards,
Katherine.
Last edited: Sep 30, 2011