CM2 April 2019 Q3

Discussion in 'CM2' started by s1645544, Apr 21, 2023.

  1. s1645544

    s1645544 Active Member

    Hi,

    Question 3 says consider a lognormal process St with parameters mu and sigma^2

    Am i correct in saying St ~ logN(mu , sigma^2) ?

    The solution explains St - S0 = logN(mu*t , sigma^2*t)

    Could someone please explain how to get there? or if my initial understanding is incorrect?

    Thanks for your help.
     
  2. Alvin Kissoon

    Alvin Kissoon ActEd Tutor Staff Member

    Hi,

    In a lognormal process the differences in the log returns are normally distributed:

    log(St) - log(S0) ~ N(mu*t , sigma^2*t).

    This means that log(St/S0) ~ N(mu*t , sigma^2*t),

    which then arrives at the result in the solution: St/S0 ~ logN(mu*t , sigma^2*t).

    Alvin.
     

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